Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.007878 0.008851 0.009914 0.011164 0.012597 0.014191 0.016106
2025-02-09 0.006262 0.007568 0.009117 0.011102 0.013594 0.016641 0.020681
2025-02-16 0.005445 0.006903 0.008729 0.011210 0.014526 0.018855 0.025015
2025-02-23 0.004768 0.006275 0.008246 0.011050 0.014992 0.020421 0.028617
2025-03-02 0.004354 0.005919 0.008045 0.011196 0.015830 0.022531 0.033207
2025-03-09 0.003952 0.005523 0.007729 0.011115 0.016296 0.024117 0.037195
2025-03-16 0.003511 0.005023 0.007204 0.010654 0.016114 0.024667 0.039588
2025-03-23 0.003245 0.004747 0.006973 0.010600 0.016534 0.026179 0.043735
2025-03-30 0.003143 0.004707 0.007086 0.011083 0.017855 0.029299 0.051093
2025-04-06 0.002868 0.004372 0.006711 0.010734 0.017740 0.029953 0.054072
2025-04-13 0.002637 0.004087 0.006388 0.010436 0.017673 0.030667 0.057242
2025-04-20 0.002487 0.003921 0.006242 0.010422 0.018097 0.032307 0.062455
2025-04-27 0.002426 0.003902 0.006350 0.010881 0.019472 0.035977 0.072596
2025-05-04 0.002277 0.003726 0.006176 0.010819 0.019870 0.037826 0.079247
2025-05-11 0.002170 0.003611 0.006099 0.010924 0.020597 0.040421 0.088025
2025-05-18 0.002035 0.003435 0.005896 0.010768 0.020777 0.041889 0.094432
2025-05-25 0.001954 0.003350 0.005851 0.010910 0.021582 0.044809 0.104924
2025-06-01 0.001850 0.003216 0.005702 0.010831 0.021909 0.046703 0.113191
2025-06-08 0.001708 0.003001 0.005386 0.010383 0.021382 0.046562 0.116061
2025-06-15 0.001626 0.002893 0.005266 0.010331 0.021727 0.048526 0.125081
2025-06-22 0.001610 0.002910 0.005389 0.010800 0.023315 0.053740 0.144489
2025-06-29 0.001506 0.002748 0.005148 0.010461 0.022972 0.054060 0.149480
2025-07-06 0.001415 0.002607 0.004937 0.010172 0.022719 0.054583 0.155224